| 논문명 |
서울시 주택유형별 공급비율 변화양상 분석을 통한 주택정책 개선 방향 연구 / An Analytical Study of Housing Type Supply Ratio Changes in Seoul With Policy Implications |
| 수록사항 |
대한건축학회논문집, Vol.41 No.11 (2025-11) |
| 주제어 |
주택유형; 공급 비율; 주거; 주택 정책; 인구구조변화 ; Housing Type; Supply Ratio; Housing; Housing Policy; Demographic Change |
| 요약1 |
본 연구는 2015년부터 2024년까지 서울시 주택정책 및 제도의 변화, 인구통계학적 변화, 주택 수요 특성의 변화를 중심으로 주택 유형별 공급 비율의 변화 과정을 실증적으로 분석하고, 향후 서울시 주택 공급 정책 방향을 제안하는데 목적이 있다. 이를 위해 첫째, 서울시 주택정책 및 제도의 변화 조사, 둘째, 인구구조의 변화 및 주택 공급 현황 분석, 셋째, 시계열적 비교-분석을 했으며, 끝으로, 본 결과를 바탕으로 향후 정책 방향을 제안하였다. |
| 요약2 |
This study empirically analyzes the transition in Seoul’s housing supply ratio by type from 2015 to 2024, focusing on housing policy and
system changes, demographic shifts, and evolving demand. The research process included a review of major policy and system changes,
analysis of demographic trends and housing supply statistics, time-series analysis of their effects on supply ratios, and formulation of future
policy directions. Results show that, despite a 6.9 percent decrease in population, the number of households increased by 7.0 percent,
reflecting a structural shift toward smaller households. During this period, the supply of non-apartment housing declined sharply, while
apartments became dominant after 2018 due to redevelopment policy changes and market conditions. The overall decline in housing supply
was largely attributed to the reduction in non-apartment housing, whereas apartment supply remained stable through ongoing redevelopment
projects. Based on these findings, three main policy directions are suggested for Seoul: systematic expansion of small and diverse housing
types to meet demand, prioritization of universal design and community-based housing to support an aging population, and preservation of
medium- and large-sized units for families. In addition, the study emphasizes the importance of pipeline-based monitoring and flexible policy
feedback at each stage of the housing supply processs, including approval, construction start, and completion, to enhance policy effectiveness
and sustainability. |
